Will we get AGI before 2034?

The market shows a near even split on AGI arrival before 2034.

With a market probability of 51.55% for YES and 48.45% for NO, sentiment is closely divided on the likelihood of achieving AGI before 2034. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors NO, indicating a cautious outlook. Overall confidence is moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current sentiment is highly polarized around AGI timelines.
• 2 Market pricing suggests a balanced view on AGI's feasibility.
• 3 The slight edge towards NO indicates skepticism among some analysts.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, supporting ongoing trading activity.