Will we get AGI before 2043?

The market indicates a high probability of achieving AGI before 2043.

With a market probability of 77.01% for achieving AGI before 2043, sentiment leans strongly towards a positive outcome. The Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 74.01%, suggesting a consensus but with some skepticism. The edge of -3 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment is strongly positive towards AGI by 2043.
• 2 The probabilities suggest a consensus among participants about AGI's potential timeline.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with a minimal edge.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, indicating some uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential developments to influence the market.