Will we redirect another asteroid by April 1, 2029?

Market leans towards no asteroid redirection by April 2029.

The prediction market indicates a 68.35% probability against redirecting another asteroid by April 1, 2029, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher chance of 34.65% for a yes outcome. With a confidence level of 50/100 and a fair pricing edge of 3, the market appears balanced in its assessment of the situation.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a no outcome.
• 2 Market probability aligns closely with AI predictions, indicating stability.
• 3 The confidence level suggests uncertainty in the outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Historical context shows limited successful asteroid redirection efforts.