BitBoy convicted?

Market leans towards a 'NO' conviction for BitBoy.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for a 'NO' outcome regarding BitBoy's conviction, with a probability of 86.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a 'YES' outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with moderate confidence.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a 'NO' conviction outcome.
• 2 The probabilities indicate a strong belief in BitBoy's innocence.
• 3 Historical data on similar cases may influence perceptions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential developments to impact views.

BitBoy was recently arrested due to a warrant issued for threatening communications he sent to a Judge. You can read more about that here: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/22059661159362

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BitBoy (Ben Armstrong) is convicted of any charges related to the emails he sent to Judge Kimberly Childs, by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Convictions must be for criminal charges.

If the case is completely dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation occurs in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

Once an individual is convicted it qualifies for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of later appeals, etc. This market will resolve based on the first conviction in a qualifying case.

The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.