Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

The market indicates a strong likelihood of the Clarity Act being signed into law by 2026.

With a market probability of 71.5% for the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026, sentiment is leaning positively. The confidence level is moderate at 75/100, suggesting a reasonable expectation of this outcome. The market appears fairly priced, indicating balanced views among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment is strongly in favor of the Act passing.
• 2 The probability reflects a consensus among participants about the Act's potential.
• 3 Historical trends show similar legislation has had varied outcomes.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, suggesting active participation.
• 5 The time to expiry allows for significant developments to occur.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.