Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 9?

Market sentiment is nearly evenly split on the DJIA's direction for March 9.

The prediction market shows a slight lean towards the DJIA going down on March 9, with a probability of 54.5% for a decline compared to 45.5% for an increase. The Pulse AI also reflects a closely contested outlook, with probabilities of 51.5% for down and 48.5% for up, indicating uncertainty. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is closely divided on DJIA's direction.
• 2 Probability estimates indicate significant uncertainty among traders.
• 3 Historical trends show similar tight races in market predictions.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, supporting current market pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Monday, March 9, 2026 is higher than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Monday, March 9, 2026 is lower than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If DJIA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will