Epstein client list released by June 30?

The market indicates a low probability of the Epstein client list being released by June 30.

With a market probability of 16% for a YES outcome and 84% for NO, the consensus suggests that the release is unlikely. The Pulse AI aligns with this assessment, indicating a fair pricing with no edge detected. Confidence in this prediction is moderate at 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Legal and procedural factors may delay any potential release.
• 3 Historical context shows similar predictions have often been accurate.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with over 2700 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.

A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.

The following will not qualify:

- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation