GTA 6 launch postponed again?

The market leans towards no postponement for GTA 6, with a 70% probability.

The current market probability indicates a strong belief that the launch of GTA 6 will not be postponed again, with a 70% chance of no delay. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for a postponement, suggesting some uncertainty remains. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment favors a timely launch with 70% probability of no delay.
• 2 Market pricing suggests a balanced view on potential postponement.
• 3 The confidence level indicates moderate certainty among participants.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Pulse AI shows a slight inclination towards a postponement at 31.5%.

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.