Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

Market suggests Mojtaba Khamenei is unlikely to be seen in public by April 30.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Mojtaba Khamenei will not be seen in public by the end of April, with a probability of 74.5% for 'NO.' The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a consensus around his public visibility being limited.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 74.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also leans towards 'NO' at 71%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 1104 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.