The market indicates a low probability of Taylor Swift being pregnant before marriage.
Current market probabilities show a strong lean towards 'NO' at 92.35%, suggesting skepticism about the possibility of Taylor Swift being pregnant before marriage. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for 'YES' at 9.15%, indicating some uncertainty but still aligning with the market's overall sentiment. The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence in these predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant before she announces that she is married to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy or marriage announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.
If Taylor Swift does not announce that she is pregnant or married to Travis Kelce by August 31, 2026 ET, or their engagement is otherwise broken off, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be used.