Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

The market suggests a low likelihood of Tim Walz being charged by 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a 33% chance of Tim Walz being charged by December 31, 2026, with a higher probability of 67% for him not being charged. The Pulse AI model offers a slightly higher probability for a charge at 34.5%, suggesting a consensus that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability favors a 'NO' outcome at 67%.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly increases the likelihood of a charge to 34.5%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 505 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Governor Tim Walz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.