US forces enter Iran by January 31?

Market indicates no expectation of US forces entering Iran by January 31.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the likelihood of US military intervention in Iran by the specified date, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for intervention, suggesting that current geopolitical conditions do not favor such an action.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against US intervention in Iran.
• 2 Current geopolitical climate appears stable with no immediate threats.
• 3 Historical data suggests low likelihood of rapid military action.
• 4 Market liquidity is stable, reflecting confidence in current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.