Weed rescheduled by March 31?

The market indicates a low probability of weed being rescheduled by March 31.

With a market probability of 3.10% for a YES outcome and a Pulse AI probability of 4.6%, the consensus leans heavily towards NO. The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market pricing is fairly aligned with the AI's assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Key factors include ongoing regulatory discussions and public sentiment.
• 3 Historical base rates for similar rescheduling events are low.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable with limited fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 517 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.