Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?

The market strongly favors Aaron Rai not winning the 2026 Houston Open.

With a market probability of 99.35% for 'NO', the consensus is that Aaron Rai is unlikely to win the event. The Pulse AI probability also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low chance of victory at 2.15%. The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome for Rai's victory.
• 2 The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the current probabilities.
• 3 The time to expiry is relatively short at 75 hours, adding urgency to market movements.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests that the market is well-aligned with the AI's assessment.
• 5 Low liquidity may impact the ability to place large bets without affecting odds.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).