Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Valspar Championship?

Aaron Rai has a low probability of winning the 2026 Valspar Championship.

The market shows a 3.95% probability for Aaron Rai to win the 2026 Valspar Championship, while the Pulse AI estimates it slightly higher at 5.45%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 40 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5. Overall, the sentiment leans heavily towards a 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Rai's historical performance may influence future probabilities.
• 3 Market liquidity is stable, reflecting consistent betting activity.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 40 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is accurately priced.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valspar Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).