Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Albania is unlikely to win the Jury Award at Eurovision 2026 based on current probabilities.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Albania will not win the Jury Award, with a 99.45% probability against it. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of 2.05% for a YES outcome, suggesting a consensus on Albania's chances. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a fair pricing edge, the market appears stable at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Albania.
• 2 The probability of a YES outcome is very low at 0.55%.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 2.05%.
• 4 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 1236 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.