Will "American Girls" by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 28?

The market strongly favors 'American Girls' not reaching #1 on Billboard.

'American Girls' by Harry Styles has a very low probability of reaching #1 on the Billboard chart, with market consensus at 99.6% for NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a strong belief that it will not achieve this position within the given timeframe.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.6%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 98.1% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 41 hours, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 5 Current market edge of 1.5 suggests fair pricing without significant misalignment.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of March 28, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.