Market favors Andrew Tate posting 100-129 times, but NO side may be undervalued.
The market currently shows a strong inclination towards YES at 68%, indicating a belief that Andrew Tate will post within the specified range. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a lower likelihood at 60.5%, highlighting a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7.5 points. With only 34 hours until expiry, the market sentiment could shift rapidly based on emerging factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 10, 12:00 PM ET and March 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.