Will Andrew Tate post 220-249 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Andrew Tate's post count from March 3-10, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of Andrew Tate posting between 220-249 times during the specified period, with a consensus leaning heavily towards NO. The AI probability also supports this sentiment, suggesting a significant gap between market expectations and AI analysis.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 AI analysis suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.55%.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 indicates the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 33 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 3, 12:00 PM ET and March 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.