Market strongly favors NO on Andrew Tate posting 250-279 times in early March 2026.
The prediction market shows a significant preference for NO, with a probability of 99.95%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.55%. Given the current confidence level of 60/100 and the edge of 3.5, the market appears to be fairly priced.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 3, 12:00 PM ET and March 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.