Will Andrew Tate post 370-399 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Market strongly favors Andrew Tate posting fewer than 370 posts during the specified period.

The prediction market shows a dominant probability of 99.95% for NO, indicating a strong belief that Andrew Tate will not post between 370 and 399 times from March 6 to March 13, 2026. The AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a consensus on this outcome, though with slightly higher uncertainty. The edge of 3.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on the current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors fewer than 370 posts.
• 2 The probability gap between YES and NO indicates strong confidence in the NO outcome.
• 3 Historical posting patterns of Andrew Tate may inform future expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal, with only 51 hours until market expiry.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 6, 12:00 PM ET and March 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.