Will Andrew Tate post 400-429 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Andrew Tate will not post 400-429 times during the specified week.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against the likelihood of Andrew Tate making 400-429 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low probability for 'YES' at 3.55%. This suggests that the market is currently well-aligned with expectations regarding his posting behavior.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 3.55%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 29 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 10, 12:00 PM ET and March 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.