Will Andrew Tate post 430-459 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Market strongly favors NO on Andrew Tate posting 430-459 times in early March 2026.

The prediction market shows a dominant NO probability of 99.95%, suggesting a strong consensus against the likelihood of Andrew Tate making 430-459 posts during the specified period. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low expectation of such posting activity. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 33 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO with minimal YES probability.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests a lack of confidence in Tate's posting frequency.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing the NO stance.
• 4 The market's edge of 3.5 indicates it is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 With only 33 hours until expiry, time pressure may limit significant shifts in probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 3, 12:00 PM ET and March 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.