Will Andrew Tate post 460-489 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

The market overwhelmingly predicts Andrew Tate will not post 460-489 times during the specified week.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that Andrew Tate will not meet the posting threshold from March 10 to March 17, 2026. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of this outcome occurring. The edge of 2.5 suggests the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence in the predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability of 99.95% indicates minimal expectation for high posting volume.
• 3 Historical patterns of Tate's posting frequency may influence perceptions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 19 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 10, 12:00 PM ET and March 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.