Will Andrew Tate post 460-489 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for Andrew Tate posting 460-489 times during the specified period.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the likelihood of Andrew Tate making 460-489 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, with a probability of 96.45% for NO, indicating a low expectation of such posting activity within the timeframe.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low likelihood of YES at 3.55%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 47 hours, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 6, 12:00 PM ET and March 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.