Will Andrew Tate post 490-519 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Market strongly favors that Andrew Tate will post fewer than 490 posts in the specified week.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.95% for NO, indicating a strong consensus against Andrew Tate posting between 490-519 times from March 10 to March 17, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 2.55%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall alignment with the market's stance.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a strong belief in lower post counts.
• 3 Pulse AI's estimate shows some minor uncertainty but aligns with market views.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.5.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 10, 12:00 PM ET and March 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.