Will Andrew Tate post 490-519 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

The market strongly favors NO for Andrew Tate posting 490-519 times in the specified period.

The prediction market shows a significant probability of 99.95% for NO, indicating a strong consensus against the likelihood of Andrew Tate making 490-519 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.55%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 49 hours, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low but notable chance for YES at 3.55%.
• 3 Current sentiment indicates skepticism about high posting frequency.
• 4 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 6, 12:00 PM ET and March 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.