Will Andrew Tate post 520-549 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

The market overwhelmingly predicts Andrew Tate will not post 520-549 times in the specified period.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', the consensus is that Andrew Tate will not reach the post count of 520-549 from March 3 to March 10, 2026. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of such posting activity. The edge of 3.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and data.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' with minimal support for 'YES'.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a low expectation for high posting frequency.
• 3 Historical trends suggest that Tate's posting behavior has been inconsistent.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, reflecting confidence in the predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is limited, with only 33 hours until market expiry.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts on X between March 3, 12:00 PM ET and March 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.