Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Andrey Esipenko has a low chance of winning the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament.

The prediction market indicates a 4.60% probability of Andrey Esipenko winning the tournament, with a strong consensus against it at 95.4%. The Pulse AI offers a slightly higher probability of 6.1%, suggesting some room for optimism, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Esipenko.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
• 4 The time to expiry allows for potential shifts in player performance.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting a consistent interest in the market.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.