Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Market suggests low probability of Aryna Sabalenka winning the 2026 French Open.

The prediction market indicates a 24.5% chance of Aryna Sabalenka winning the 2026 Women's French Open, with a stronger consensus against her at 75.5%. The Pulse AI aligns closely with this sentiment, showing a slightly higher probability for her win at 26%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily against Sabalenka winning.
• 2 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly balanced.
• 3 Confidence level of 60 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in player form.
• 5 Recent performance trends could influence market probabilities.

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.