Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Australia has a 28% chance of winning the Jury Vote in Eurovision 2026.

The current market indicates a 28% probability for Australia to win the Jury Vote at Eurovision 2026, with a stronger sentiment against it at 72%. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting no significant misalignment between the market and AI predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome at 72%.
• 2 Australia's probability aligns with AI predictions at 28%.
• 3 No edge indicates a balanced market with fair pricing.
• 4 Confidence level is moderately high at 75/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at 1235 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.