Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

The market indicates a low probability for Avengers: Doomsday to be the top grossing movie of 2026.

With a market probability of 12.5% for YES and 87.5% for NO, it suggests strong skepticism about the film's box office potential. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards NO.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards NO.
• 2 The film's competition and marketing strategy will be crucial.
• 3 Historical data suggests that franchise films can fluctuate in popularity.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential shifts in public interest.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.