Will Ayo Edebiri win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

The market strongly favors Ayo Edebiri not winning Best Supporting Actress.

With a market probability of 0% for Ayo Edebiri winning, the consensus is that she is unlikely to secure the award. The Pulse AI probability also reflects this sentiment, indicating minimal support for her candidacy. The current confidence level suggests a strong belief in the market's accuracy.

• 1 Market probability shows a clear expectation of Edebiri not winning.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates a strong belief in the current market pricing.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect the responsiveness of the market to new information.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.