Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Azerbaijan is unlikely to win the Jury Award at Eurovision 2026.

The market indicates a very low probability of Azerbaijan winning the Jury Award, with a consensus around a 0.35% chance. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a slightly higher probability but still indicating a strong likelihood of a 'NO' outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome for Azerbaijan.
• 2 Historical performance of Azerbaijan in Eurovision may influence perceptions.
• 3 The low probability suggests limited confidence in Azerbaijan's chances.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in public opinion or entries.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.