Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

The market strongly favors that Billy Horschel will not win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability against Billy Horschel winning the event, with the AI probability slightly more favorable at 1%. The edge of 1 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against Horschel winning.
• 2 AI probability suggests minimal chance of a win at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating reliable predictions.
• 4 Market conditions appear stable with no significant liquidity issues.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to long-term forecasts.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).