Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Market strongly favors Brian Harman not winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The prediction market indicates a low probability of 0.45% for Brian Harman winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a consensus leaning heavily towards a NO outcome at 99.55%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a NO probability of 98.05%, indicating that current expectations are not in favor of Harman's chances.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Harman.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the AI's assessment.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 An edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).