Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

Bud Cauley is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The market shows a strong consensus against Bud Cauley winning, with a 100% probability of NO. The AI probability also reflects this sentiment, indicating minimal expectations for his success in this event.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors a NO outcome for Cauley.
• 2 Current sentiment indicates minimal confidence in his winning chances.
• 3 Historical performance suggests Cauley has not been a strong contender recently.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting established opinions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).