Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Market strongly favors NO for Alcaraz winning the 2026 Miami Open.

The prediction market shows a definitive NO at 100% probability for Carlos Alcaraz winning the 2026 Miami Open, with a low AI probability of 1% for a YES outcome. This indicates a strong consensus against his chances, despite a relatively high confidence level of 85/100 in the market's pricing.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Alcaraz winning.
• 2 The market probability is firmly at NO, indicating strong skepticism.
• 3 AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, suggesting consistency.
• 4 Confidence level of 85/100 indicates a strong belief in current pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for March 15 - March 29, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.