Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Croatia has a very low chance of winning the Jury vote in Eurovision 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 1.3% probability for Croatia to be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final, suggesting minimal confidence in this outcome. With a high NO probability of 98.7%, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting a strong consensus against Croatia's chances.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Croatia.
• 2 The low probability indicates a lack of confidence in Croatia's potential success.
• 3 Historical performance trends suggest Croatia has struggled in past contests.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time until the event is ample, allowing for potential changes in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.