Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Cyprus has a low chance of winning Eurovision 2026, with market odds at 1.3%.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Cyprus will not win Eurovision 2026, with a probability of only 1.3% for a win. This suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a consensus view on Cyprus's prospects in the competition.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Cyprus.
• 2 The probability of 1.3% suggests minimal confidence in Cyprus winning.
• 3 Market appears to be fairly priced with no significant edge.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time until the event is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.