Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

The market strongly favors Daniel Berger not winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Currently, the prediction market shows a 100% probability against Daniel Berger winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, indicating a strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 99% probability for a NO outcome. This suggests that there is little expectation for Berger's success in this event based on current data.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief Berger will not win.
• 2 Pulse AI shows minimal chance of Berger winning at 1%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 85/100, suggesting reliable data.
• 5 Time to expiry for the market is currently unknown.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).