Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Delroy Lindo has a low chance of winning Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Delroy Lindo winning, with a probability of only 10.45%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a slight divergence but overall agreement on low likelihood. With 129 hours until the event, the market appears fairly priced with a moderate confidence level.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' for Lindo's win.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the AI's assessment.
• 3 A 3.5 edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time pressure of 129 hours may influence last-minute shifts in sentiment.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.