Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Denmark has an 11.9% chance of winning Eurovision 2026 according to market odds.

The prediction market indicates a low probability of Denmark winning Eurovision 2026, with a consensus of 11.9% for a YES outcome. This suggests that the market perceives stronger contenders or factors that diminish Denmark's chances. The confidence level of 75/100 reflects a moderate certainty in this assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors NO with 88.1% probability.
• 2 Denmark's historical performance in Eurovision may influence perceptions.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with no edge detected.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 1630 hours.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current probabilities.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.