Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Dune: Messiah is unlikely to be the top grossing movie of 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Dune: Messiah being the top grossing film, with a 99.15% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting low confidence in its potential success compared to other films in 2026.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.15%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low chance of YES at 2.85%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 75/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant at 7128 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Current sentiment reflects skepticism about Dune: Messiah's box office performance.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.