Will Ed Sheeran have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Low probability for Ed Sheeran having the most Spotify listeners this month.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Ed Sheeran having the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners, with a 99.95% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 3.55%, indicating some uncertainty but overall confidence in the 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slight chance for 'YES' at 3.55%.
• 3 The edge of 3.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 399 hours, allowing for potential changes.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on March 31, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.