Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?

High probability for Musk to be richest person on March 31.

The market shows a 99.80% probability that Elon Musk will be the richest person on March 31, indicating strong confidence in this outcome. With a slight edge of -0.8, the market appears fairly priced, and the AI probability aligns closely at 99%. The time to expiry is 94 hours, allowing for potential fluctuations based on upcoming events.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Musk as the richest person.
• 2 The probability gap suggests limited room for market movement.
• 3 Musk's wealth is closely tied to stock performance of his companies.
• 4 The market has low liquidity, which may affect price stability.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 94 hours until the deadline.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.