Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Elon Musk will post 20 or more tweets during the specified period.

With a market probability of 0% for 0-19 tweets and 100% for 20 or more, the consensus is that Musk will be very active on Twitter during this timeframe. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a strong belief in this outcome, indicating a high level of confidence in the market's pricing.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a high tweet volume from Musk.
• 2 Market pricing suggests confidence in Musk's engagement on Twitter.
• 3 Historical patterns show Musk's tendency to tweet frequently.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting strong market interest.
• 5 Time pressure is unclear, but confidence remains high in the current forecast.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 17 12:00 PM ET to March 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.