Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

The market predicts Elon Musk will not post 0-19 tweets during the specified week.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, the consensus is that Elon Musk will exceed 19 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a strong belief in this outcome. The confidence level of 95/100 suggests a high degree of certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk suggest high activity levels.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge.
• 4 High confidence level indicates strong consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future fluctuations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.