Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Musk will post 20 or more tweets during the specified period.

With a market probability of 0% for Musk posting 0-19 tweets, the consensus is that he will tweet at least 20 times from March 3 to March 10, 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a very low likelihood of him tweeting fewer than 20 times. The high confidence level suggests that this prediction is well-supported by current sentiment and analysis.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors Musk tweeting more than 19 times.
• 2 The high confidence level indicates strong backing for the NO position.
• 3 Historical trends show Musk's active tweeting behavior during similar periods.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge identified.
• 5 The time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 3 12:00 PM ET to March 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.