Will Elon Musk post 10-19 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?

Market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 10-19 times in March 2026.

The prediction market shows a high probability of NO at 99.95%, indicating a strong consensus against Elon Musk tweeting 10-19 times during the specified period. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for YES at 2.05%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions. The edge of 2 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO with minimal support for YES.
• 2 Historical tweeting patterns of Musk may influence future predictions.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction.
• 5 Confidence level suggests moderate belief in the current market assessment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 10 12:00 PM ET to March 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.